Property Tax Protest Success Rates in Texas
Texas property tax protests succeed 60-80% of the time, with informal hearings showing even higher success rates of 70-90%. Here are the key statistics:
- Overall success rate: 60-80% of protests result in a reduction
- Informal hearing success: 70-90% (where most protests settle)
- ARB hearing success: 55-70% (for cases that go to formal hearing)
- Average savings: $600-$2,250 per year depending on home value
- Protest rate: Only 17-24% of Texas homeowners protest annually
If you've been wondering whether protesting your property taxes is worth the effort, the statistics strongly suggest yes.
Texas Property Tax Protest Success Rates by County
Success rates vary by county and whether the protest is resolved at the informal stage or proceeds to an ARB hearing.
- Dallas County — 84% informal, 67% ARB
- Harris County — 75-85% informal, 60-70% ARB
- Bexar County — ~90% informal (most settle here), 65-75% ARB
- Tarrant County — 70-80% informal, 60-70% ARB
- Travis County — 70-80% informal, 55-65% ARB
- Collin County — 75-85% informal, 60-70% ARB
Note: Success rates fluctuate annually based on market conditions and appraisal accuracy. Data compiled from county reports and Texas Comptroller surveys.
What Do These Success Rates Mean?
Informal Hearings: Higher Success Rates
Most protests are resolved at the informal hearing stage, where you (or your representative) meet with an appraisal district staff member to negotiate. Success rates at this stage typically range from 70-90% because:
- Appraisers have authority to make value adjustments
- Settlement is faster and cheaper for the district
- Strong evidence often leads to agreement
ARB Hearings: Still Favorable Odds
If the informal hearing doesn't resolve your protest, you proceed to the Appraisal Review Board (ARB). Success rates at ARB hearings are lower (typically 55-70%) because:
- Only contested cases reach ARB (easier cases already settled)
- ARB panels follow stricter evidentiary standards
- The appraisal district defends their position more vigorously
Even at ARB, your odds of success are better than a coin flip.
How Much Do Successful Protests Save?
The dollar savings from a successful protest depend on your property value and local tax rates.
Average Savings Examples
- $300,000 home — $30,000 reduction (10%) saves $600-$900/year
- $400,000 home — $40,000 reduction (10%) saves $800-$1,200/year
- $500,000 home — $50,000 reduction (10%) saves $1,000-$1,500/year
- $750,000 home — $75,000 reduction (10%) saves $1,500-$2,250/year
Based on average Texas tax rate of 2-3%. Your actual savings depend on local tax rates.
Aggregate Savings Data
The numbers add up across Texas:
- Dallas County 2024: Informal protests saved property owners $349 million; ARB protests saved $579 million
- Bexar County 2024: Approximately 497,000 homeowners didn't protest - collectively leaving an estimated $134 million in savings on the table (averaging $269 per household)
What Affects Property Tax Protest Success Rates?
Factors That Increase Success
- Strong comparable sales evidence: Recent sales of similar homes below your assessed value
- Unequal appraisal data: Proof that similar properties are assessed lower
- Property condition issues: Documented problems that reduce value
- Professional representation: Experience navigating the system
- Thorough preparation: Organized evidence and clear arguments
Factors That Decrease Success
- Rising market conditions: When all values are increasing, reductions are harder
- Recent purchase at or above assessed value: Your purchase price validates the assessment
- Lack of evidence: Opinions without supporting data
- Unique properties: Fewer comparables available
- Significant improvements: New additions justify higher values
Why Don't More People Protest?
Despite favorable success rates, only 17-24% of Texas properties are protested each year. Common reasons include:
- Don't know they can: Many homeowners are unaware of their right to protest
- Think it's too complicated: The process seems overwhelming
- Assume they won't win: Believe the appraisal district always wins
- Can't take time off work: Hearings are typically during business hours
- Don't know what evidence to use: Unsure how to build a case
The data shows these concerns are largely unfounded. Most protests succeed, and professional representation removes most barriers.
How to Improve Your Chances of Success
1. Gather Strong Evidence
Focus on:
- Comparable sales: 3-5 recent sales of similar homes at lower prices
- Unequal appraisal: Assessed values of similar properties
- Property issues: Photos and repair estimates for condition problems
2. File on Time
The protest deadline is May 15 (or 30 days after your notice is mailed, whichever is later). Missing the deadline waives your right to protest for the year.
3. Attend the Informal Hearing
This is where most reductions happen. Be prepared, be professional, and be willing to negotiate.
4. Consider Professional Help
Property tax consultants like Ballard Property Tax Protest:
- Know what evidence works in each county
- Have access to comprehensive sales data
- Handle all hearings on your behalf
- Only charge if they reduce your value
Historical Success Rate Trends
Property tax protest success rates have remained consistently high over time:
- 2024 — 60-80% success rate
- 2023 — 65-80% success rate
- 2022 — 70-85% success rate
- 2021 — 65-80% success rate
- 2020 — 70-75% success rate (pandemic year)
Even in challenging years, the majority of protests result in at least some reduction.
The Cost of Not Protesting
Every year you don't protest, you may be overpaying property taxes. Consider:
- Cumulative losses: $500/year in potential savings = $5,000 over 10 years
- Homestead cap impact: Missed reductions raise your baseline for future years
- Pre-65 tax freeze: If approaching 65, every reduction now locks in permanent savings
The question isn't whether protesting works - the data shows it does. The question is whether you'll take advantage of your right to protest.
Protest Your Property Taxes Today
With success rates ranging from 60-90% depending on stage and county, the odds are in your favor. At Ballard Property Tax Protest:
- We handle everything: Filing, evidence, hearings
- You don't pay unless we win: No reduction, no fee
- We know local success factors: County-specific strategies
Start your Texas property tax protest and join the majority who successfully reduce their property taxes.
